CIPS Policy Brief No.15, March 2012.
By PETER JONES. 

  • Iran’s internal situation is troubled and getting worse, but it is impossible
    to say how long the regime will last.
  • The Arab Spring has left Iran a ‘net loser’ in terms of both alliances and influence in the Arab world.
  • Since Iran’s efforts to acquire nuclear capabilities are likely motivated by interests of self-defense it is irresponsible for Canada or others to engage in conflict-stoking rhetoric.

 Full text (pdf)

Peter Jones is an Associate Professor in the Graduate School of Public and International Affairs at the University of Ottawa. This Policy Brief is adapted from his testimony to Canada’s Senate Committee on Foreign Affairs and International Trade on February 8, 2012.

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